Recent forecasts for Mexico City highlight persistent cloud cover and widespread rain on September 6, driven by the active rainy season pattern, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 22–24°C. Multiple models, including GEM and ECMWF runs, show overcast conditions with high precipitation probabilities suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of roughly 23–25°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 23–25°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing amid variable steering winds and model spread on rainfall intensity. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance or new satellite observations could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 6. September?
24°C 46%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
22°C 5%
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
46%
25°C
28%
26°C oder höher
4%
24°C 46%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
22°C 5%
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
46%
25°C
28%
26°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City highlight persistent cloud cover and widespread rain on September 6, driven by the active rainy season pattern, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 22–24°C. Multiple models, including GEM and ECMWF runs, show overcast conditions with high precipitation probabilities suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of roughly 23–25°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 23–25°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing amid variable steering winds and model spread on rainfall intensity. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance or new satellite observations could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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