**Recent forecast consensus from global models and regional meteorological guidance points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driving the overwhelming 94% market-implied probability.** Stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and minimal cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping afternoon peaks aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms rather than typical September warmth. Official station observations and short-range model runs show limited potential for additional warming before sunset, with dew points and wind patterns reinforcing this ceiling. While minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate effects could push readings to 26°C, the tight clustering of outcomes below that threshold reflects traders' assessment of low uncertainty in the final verified maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 12. September?
25°C 93%
26°C 7%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$13,682 Vol.
$13,682 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
93%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 93%
26°C 7%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$13,682 Vol.
$13,682 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$255 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,727 Vol.
93%
26°C
$4,886 Vol.
7%
27°C
$1,146 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,339 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$813 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from global models and regional meteorological guidance points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driving the overwhelming 94% market-implied probability.** Stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and minimal cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping afternoon peaks aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms rather than typical September warmth. Official station observations and short-range model runs show limited potential for additional warming before sunset, with dew points and wind patterns reinforcing this ceiling. While minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate effects could push readings to 26°C, the tight clustering of outcomes below that threshold reflects traders' assessment of low uncertainty in the final verified maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$13,682Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from global models and regional meteorological guidance points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driving the overwhelming 94% market-implied probability.** Stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and minimal cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping afternoon peaks aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms rather than typical September warmth. Official station observations and short-range model runs show limited potential for additional warming before sunset, with dew points and wind patterns reinforcing this ceiling. While minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate effects could push readings to 26°C, the tight clustering of outcomes below that threshold reflects traders' assessment of low uncertainty in the final verified maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,682Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast consensus from global models and regional meteorological guidance points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driving the overwhelming 94% market-implied probability.** Stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and minimal cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping afternoon peaks aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms rather than typical September warmth. Official station observations and short-range model runs show limited potential for additional warming before sunset, with dew points and wind patterns reinforcing this ceiling. While minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate effects could push readings to 26°C, the tight clustering of outcomes below that threshold reflects traders' assessment of low uncertainty in the final verified maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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