Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight strengthening northerly winds and partial cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Istanbul’s September 13 maximum temperature centered on 22–23 °C, with light precipitation possible later in the day. These conditions follow a warmer period and align with the seasonal transition toward cooler maritime air masses typical of the Bosphorus region in mid-September. Official agency updates and final model runs overnight will refine the exact peak, while historical climatology shows average highs near 25–26 °C, underscoring the current cooler signal. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus tempered by remaining uncertainty in cloud timing and wind strength.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 13. September?
22°C 45%
23°C 36%
24°C 9%
21°C 8%
20°C oder niedriger
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
45%
23°C
36%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 36%
24°C 9%
21°C 8%
20°C oder niedriger
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
45%
23°C
36%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight strengthening northerly winds and partial cloud cover as the main drivers keeping Istanbul’s September 13 maximum temperature centered on 22–23 °C, with light precipitation possible later in the day. These conditions follow a warmer period and align with the seasonal transition toward cooler maritime air masses typical of the Bosphorus region in mid-September. Official agency updates and final model runs overnight will refine the exact peak, while historical climatology shows average highs near 25–26 °C, underscoring the current cooler signal. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus tempered by remaining uncertainty in cloud timing and wind strength.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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