Clear skies and light northerly winds are driving moderate overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily minimum near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities, as September climatology typically features lows of 15–18°C but current dry air and limited cloud cover limit deeper drops. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and steady northwest flow preventing significant cold advection, while historical analogs for mid-September under similar setups rarely dip below 18°C. Final Incheon station observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 14. September?
19°C 73%
20°C 38%
18°C 6%
17°C <1%
$15,738 Vol.
$15,738 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
80%
20°C
38%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 73%
20°C 38%
18°C 6%
17°C <1%
$15,738 Vol.
$15,738 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
80%
20°C
38%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northerly winds are driving moderate overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily minimum near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities, as September climatology typically features lows of 15–18°C but current dry air and limited cloud cover limit deeper drops. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and steady northwest flow preventing significant cold advection, while historical analogs for mid-September under similar setups rarely dip below 18°C. Final Incheon station observations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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