Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in San Francisco on September 16 likely in the upper 50s°F, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F and 60-61°F bins. Onshore westerly to southwesterly flow and the persistent marine layer typical of the region in mid-September moderate overnight cooling, preventing sharper drops while limiting daytime highs. Model consensus shows stable conditions without significant synoptic shifts or fog-driven radiative cooling that could push readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical averages for the date hover near 56°F, but current guidance supports slightly milder values, reinforcing trader focus on the 58-61°F range ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 16. September?
68°F oder höher 73%
58-59°F 57%
54-55°F 39%
62-63°F 39%
49°F oder darunter
17%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
1%
68°F oder höher
73%
68°F oder höher 73%
58-59°F 57%
54-55°F 39%
62-63°F 39%
49°F oder darunter
17%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
1%
68°F oder höher
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in San Francisco on September 16 likely in the upper 50s°F, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F and 60-61°F bins. Onshore westerly to southwesterly flow and the persistent marine layer typical of the region in mid-September moderate overnight cooling, preventing sharper drops while limiting daytime highs. Model consensus shows stable conditions without significant synoptic shifts or fog-driven radiative cooling that could push readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical averages for the date hover near 56°F, but current guidance supports slightly milder values, reinforcing trader focus on the 58-61°F range ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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