Trader consensus positions 22–24°C as the leading outcomes for Toronto’s September 15 high, consistent with mid-September climatology where daily maxima average near 21–23°C under typical high-pressure influence. Current ensemble forecasts indicate a stable ridge maintaining modest daytime warming with limited moisture or frontal activity, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and suppressing odds for outliers below 20°C or above 25°C. Short-term model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor adjustments remain possible from updated runs or local boundary-layer effects. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 15. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 15. September?
23°C 37%
24°C 24%
22°C 21%
26°C oder höher 15%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
21%
23°C
37%
24°C
24%
25°C
11%
26°C oder höher
15%
23°C 37%
24°C 24%
22°C 21%
26°C oder höher 15%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$5 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C
$79 Vol.
9%
22°C
$1,790 Vol.
21%
23°C
$3 Vol.
37%
24°C
$680 Vol.
24%
25°C
$342 Vol.
11%
26°C oder höher
$8 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 22–24°C as the leading outcomes for Toronto’s September 15 high, consistent with mid-September climatology where daily maxima average near 21–23°C under typical high-pressure influence. Current ensemble forecasts indicate a stable ridge maintaining modest daytime warming with limited moisture or frontal activity, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and suppressing odds for outliers below 20°C or above 25°C. Short-term model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor adjustments remain possible from updated runs or local boundary-layer effects. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,907Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 22–24°C as the leading outcomes for Toronto’s September 15 high, consistent with mid-September climatology where daily maxima average near 21–23°C under typical high-pressure influence. Current ensemble forecasts indicate a stable ridge maintaining modest daytime warming with limited moisture or frontal activity, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and suppressing odds for outliers below 20°C or above 25°C. Short-term model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor adjustments remain possible from updated runs or local boundary-layer effects. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,907Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 22–24°C as the leading outcomes for Toronto’s September 15 high, consistent with mid-September climatology where daily maxima average near 21–23°C under typical high-pressure influence. Current ensemble forecasts indicate a stable ridge maintaining modest daytime warming with limited moisture or frontal activity, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and suppressing odds for outliers below 20°C or above 25°C. Short-term model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor adjustments remain possible from updated runs or local boundary-layer effects. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen