**Official National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 68°F in downtown Los Angeles and 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 97.5% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F range.** This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence and above-normal overnight lows (normal minimum around 64°F), with no significant cooling from offshore flow or clear-sky radiational effects. Traders' strong consensus draws from real-time station data and model consensus favoring stable conditions. Lower ranges remain improbable absent revised station readings or alternative measurement protocols, while higher outcomes are ruled out by the verified overnight minimums.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 15. September?
68-69°F 100.0%
61°F oder weniger <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$1,067 Vol.
$1,067 Vol.
61°F oder weniger
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Ja
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80°F oder höher
Nein
68-69°F 100.0%
61°F oder weniger <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$1,067 Vol.
$1,067 Vol.
61°F oder weniger
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Ja
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Official National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 68°F in downtown Los Angeles and 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 97.5% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F range.** This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence and above-normal overnight lows (normal minimum around 64°F), with no significant cooling from offshore flow or clear-sky radiational effects. Traders' strong consensus draws from real-time station data and model consensus favoring stable conditions. Lower ranges remain improbable absent revised station readings or alternative measurement protocols, while higher outcomes are ruled out by the verified overnight minimums.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen