Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 78–79°F for Los Angeles on September 18 under clear skies and light southwest flow, with the marine layer expected to limit coastal warming. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 76–77°F and 74–75°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-September climatology (historical average high ~76°F) and the moderating influence of onshore flow that often caps peaks at or below official forecast values at key stations. Minimal day-to-day changes in guidance and absence of heat-advisory conditions have kept trader probabilities stable, with only modest allocation to the 78–79°F bin reflecting residual model spread in maximum temperature timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 18. September?
76-77 °F 51%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 3%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
63°F oder weniger
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
20-20,5°C
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
33%
76-77 °F
51%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
2%
82°F oder höher
2%
76-77 °F 51%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 3%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
63°F oder weniger
$125 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
20-20,5°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$302 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$649 Vol.
33%
76-77 °F
$3,112 Vol.
51%
78-79°F
$491 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
2%
82°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 78–79°F for Los Angeles on September 18 under clear skies and light southwest flow, with the marine layer expected to limit coastal warming. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 76–77°F and 74–75°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-September climatology (historical average high ~76°F) and the moderating influence of onshore flow that often caps peaks at or below official forecast values at key stations. Minimal day-to-day changes in guidance and absence of heat-advisory conditions have kept trader probabilities stable, with only modest allocation to the 78–79°F bin reflecting residual model spread in maximum temperature timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,073Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 78–79°F for Los Angeles on September 18 under clear skies and light southwest flow, with the marine layer expected to limit coastal warming. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 76–77°F and 74–75°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-September climatology (historical average high ~76°F) and the moderating influence of onshore flow that often caps peaks at or below official forecast values at key stations. Minimal day-to-day changes in guidance and absence of heat-advisory conditions have kept trader probabilities stable, with only modest allocation to the 78–79°F bin reflecting residual model spread in maximum temperature timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,073Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 78–79°F for Los Angeles on September 18 under clear skies and light southwest flow, with the marine layer expected to limit coastal warming. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 76–77°F and 74–75°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-September climatology (historical average high ~76°F) and the moderating influence of onshore flow that often caps peaks at or below official forecast values at key stations. Minimal day-to-day changes in guidance and absence of heat-advisory conditions have kept trader probabilities stable, with only modest allocation to the 78–79°F bin reflecting residual model spread in maximum temperature timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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