Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 19 show maximum temperatures clustered between 24–26°C amid light rain or overcast skies, driving the tight market spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional frontal activity and basin topography limits daytime heating by reducing solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while light northeasterly winds offer minimal advection. Numerical models exhibit modest spread in predicted cloud cover and precipitation timing, producing the current near-even trader weighting among the central bins. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles ahead of the event will likely narrow the distribution as resolution criteria focus strictly on official daily maximum readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 19. September?
26°C 27%
28°C 25%
25°C 23%
23°C 22%
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
26%
24°C
22%
25°C
23%
26°C
27%
27°C
20%
28°C
25%
29°C
19%
30°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 27%
28°C 25%
25°C 23%
23°C 22%
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
26%
24°C
22%
25°C
23%
26°C
27%
27°C
20%
28°C
25%
29°C
19%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 19 show maximum temperatures clustered between 24–26°C amid light rain or overcast skies, driving the tight market spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional frontal activity and basin topography limits daytime heating by reducing solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while light northeasterly winds offer minimal advection. Numerical models exhibit modest spread in predicted cloud cover and precipitation timing, producing the current near-even trader weighting among the central bins. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles ahead of the event will likely narrow the distribution as resolution criteria focus strictly on official daily maximum readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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