Latest forecast models from regional meteorological sources project partly cloudy skies and light winds over Guangzhou on September 17, limiting afternoon convective activity and supporting peak temperatures near 32–34°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 31% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with this guidance while assigning meaningful weight to 33°C and 35°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation. Key variables include evolving cloud fraction, which can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees, and any late steering adjustments that alter humidity or brief showers. With resolution less than 48 hours away, updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration will likely drive the next shifts in market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 17. September?
33°C 21%
35°C 21%
34°C 17%
32°C 15%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
15%
33°C
21%
34°C
31%
35°C
21%
36°C
6%
37°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 21%
35°C 21%
34°C 17%
32°C 15%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$221 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$82 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$5 Vol.
15%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$72 Vol.
31%
35°C
$6 Vol.
21%
36°C
$252 Vol.
6%
37°C oder höher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from regional meteorological sources project partly cloudy skies and light winds over Guangzhou on September 17, limiting afternoon convective activity and supporting peak temperatures near 32–34°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 31% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with this guidance while assigning meaningful weight to 33°C and 35°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation. Key variables include evolving cloud fraction, which can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees, and any late steering adjustments that alter humidity or brief showers. With resolution less than 48 hours away, updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration will likely drive the next shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$713Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from regional meteorological sources project partly cloudy skies and light winds over Guangzhou on September 17, limiting afternoon convective activity and supporting peak temperatures near 32–34°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 31% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with this guidance while assigning meaningful weight to 33°C and 35°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation. Key variables include evolving cloud fraction, which can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees, and any late steering adjustments that alter humidity or brief showers. With resolution less than 48 hours away, updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration will likely drive the next shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$713Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from regional meteorological sources project partly cloudy skies and light winds over Guangzhou on September 17, limiting afternoon convective activity and supporting peak temperatures near 32–34°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 31% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with this guidance while assigning meaningful weight to 33°C and 35°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation. Key variables include evolving cloud fraction, which can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees, and any late steering adjustments that alter humidity or brief showers. With resolution less than 48 hours away, updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration will likely drive the next shifts in market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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