Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high probability of partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and significant rainfall over Guangzhou on September 15, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Persistent high humidity near 70-85% and light northeasterly winds further moderate peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Historical September averages show a 32°C high, with recent years featuring similar convective patterns that have held temperatures near or slightly above this baseline. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34°C while assigning lower weight to extremes above 35°C or below 32°C. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 15. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 15. September?
34°C 27%
33°C 21%
35°C 18%
32°C 12%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
12%
33°C
21%
34°C
27%
35°C
18%
36°C
9%
37°C oder höher
4%
34°C 27%
33°C 21%
35°C 18%
32°C 12%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$9 Vol.
3%
30°C
$50 Vol.
5%
31°C
$22 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
27%
35°C
$25 Vol.
18%
36°C
$27 Vol.
9%
37°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high probability of partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and significant rainfall over Guangzhou on September 15, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Persistent high humidity near 70-85% and light northeasterly winds further moderate peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Historical September averages show a 32°C high, with recent years featuring similar convective patterns that have held temperatures near or slightly above this baseline. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34°C while assigning lower weight to extremes above 35°C or below 32°C. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volumen
$163Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high probability of partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and significant rainfall over Guangzhou on September 15, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Persistent high humidity near 70-85% and light northeasterly winds further moderate peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Historical September averages show a 32°C high, with recent years featuring similar convective patterns that have held temperatures near or slightly above this baseline. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34°C while assigning lower weight to extremes above 35°C or below 32°C. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$163Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high probability of partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and significant rainfall over Guangzhou on September 15, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Persistent high humidity near 70-85% and light northeasterly winds further moderate peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Historical September averages show a 32°C high, with recent years featuring similar convective patterns that have held temperatures near or slightly above this baseline. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34°C while assigning lower weight to extremes above 35°C or below 32°C. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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