Recent forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 15 around 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, positioning the 11°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 42% implied probability. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C while reflecting a mild early-autumn pattern without strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh the chance of localized radiational cooling or brief showers potentially nudging the minimum slightly lower against the risk of warmer advection keeping readings nearer 13–15°C. Updated model runs and official observations expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 15. September?
11°C oder niedriger 53%
17°C 29%
16°C 29%
15°C 23%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
53%
12°C
8%
13°C
16%
14°C
19%
15°C
23%
16°C
29%
17°C
29%
18°C
19%
19°C
18%
20°C
2%
21°C oder höher
1%
11°C oder niedriger 53%
17°C 29%
16°C 29%
15°C 23%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
53%
12°C
$10 Vol.
8%
13°C
$39 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$9 Vol.
29%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C oder höher
$128 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 15 around 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, positioning the 11°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 42% implied probability. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C while reflecting a mild early-autumn pattern without strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh the chance of localized radiational cooling or brief showers potentially nudging the minimum slightly lower against the risk of warmer advection keeping readings nearer 13–15°C. Updated model runs and official observations expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volumen
$206Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 15 around 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, positioning the 11°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 42% implied probability. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C while reflecting a mild early-autumn pattern without strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh the chance of localized radiational cooling or brief showers potentially nudging the minimum slightly lower against the risk of warmer advection keeping readings nearer 13–15°C. Updated model runs and official observations expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$206Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 15 around 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, positioning the 11°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 42% implied probability. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C while reflecting a mild early-autumn pattern without strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh the chance of localized radiational cooling or brief showers potentially nudging the minimum slightly lower against the risk of warmer advection keeping readings nearer 13–15°C. Updated model runs and official observations expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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