Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum in Qingdao on September 16 near 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure near 1020 hPa that favors modest overnight radiative cooling without strong cold advection. The near-even split between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects trader weighting of coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea, which typically limits diurnal drops, against potential for clearer conditions enhancing surface cooling or a slight shift in steering flow. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 18°C, but recent stable anticyclonic patterns have kept readings several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will clarify boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts that determine the precise minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 16. September?
16°C oder weniger 100%
26°C oder höher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
16°C oder weniger
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
98%
16°C oder weniger 100%
26°C oder höher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
16°C oder weniger
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum in Qingdao on September 16 near 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure near 1020 hPa that favors modest overnight radiative cooling without strong cold advection. The near-even split between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects trader weighting of coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea, which typically limits diurnal drops, against potential for clearer conditions enhancing surface cooling or a slight shift in steering flow. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 18°C, but recent stable anticyclonic patterns have kept readings several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will clarify boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts that determine the precise minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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