Current forecast models for Qingdao on September 15 indicate a wide spread in possible overnight lows due to variable steering winds and the moderating effect of the adjacent Yellow Sea. Southerly flow supports advection of milder maritime air and limited radiational cooling under mostly clear skies, while any northerly shift could introduce cooler continental air masses typical of the monsoon transition. Historical mid-September minima average near 19–20°C with a modest diurnal range of about 6°C, yet recent ensemble runs diverge notably on boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends. This genuine uncertainty drives the market's near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, with traders weighing the next CMA and global model updates for resolution signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 15. September?
24°C oder höher 78%
14°C oder darunter 43%
19°C 39%
15°C 23%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
43%
15°C
23%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
20%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
13%
24°C oder höher
78%
24°C oder höher 78%
14°C oder darunter 43%
19°C 39%
15°C 23%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
43%
15°C
$0 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$10 Vol.
39%
20°C
$10 Vol.
20%
21°C
$10 Vol.
3%
22°C
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$10 Vol.
13%
24°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Qingdao on September 15 indicate a wide spread in possible overnight lows due to variable steering winds and the moderating effect of the adjacent Yellow Sea. Southerly flow supports advection of milder maritime air and limited radiational cooling under mostly clear skies, while any northerly shift could introduce cooler continental air masses typical of the monsoon transition. Historical mid-September minima average near 19–20°C with a modest diurnal range of about 6°C, yet recent ensemble runs diverge notably on boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends. This genuine uncertainty drives the market's near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, with traders weighing the next CMA and global model updates for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volumen
$60Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Qingdao on September 15 indicate a wide spread in possible overnight lows due to variable steering winds and the moderating effect of the adjacent Yellow Sea. Southerly flow supports advection of milder maritime air and limited radiational cooling under mostly clear skies, while any northerly shift could introduce cooler continental air masses typical of the monsoon transition. Historical mid-September minima average near 19–20°C with a modest diurnal range of about 6°C, yet recent ensemble runs diverge notably on boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends. This genuine uncertainty drives the market's near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, with traders weighing the next CMA and global model updates for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$60Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Qingdao on September 15 indicate a wide spread in possible overnight lows due to variable steering winds and the moderating effect of the adjacent Yellow Sea. Southerly flow supports advection of milder maritime air and limited radiational cooling under mostly clear skies, while any northerly shift could introduce cooler continental air masses typical of the monsoon transition. Historical mid-September minima average near 19–20°C with a modest diurnal range of about 6°C, yet recent ensemble runs diverge notably on boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends. This genuine uncertainty drives the market's near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, with traders weighing the next CMA and global model updates for resolution signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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