Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a highest temperature in New York City on September 16 near 78–79°F, driven by high pressure promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This setup favors modest warming above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 76°F without triggering stronger heat advection or convective cooling. Stable model runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this range, limiting shifts toward the lower-probability 80°F+ or sub-76°F bins. Traders appear to weight the official guidance and historical analogs heavily, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour maximum observation at Central Park.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 16. September?
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 23%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 3%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
69°F oder niedriger
<1%
70–71°F
1%
72-73 °F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
21%
82-83 °F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F oder höher
<1%
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 23%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 3%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
69°F oder niedriger
$258 Vol.
<1%
70–71°F
$248 Vol.
1%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$429 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,371 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$3,165 Vol.
54%
80-81°F
$2,610 Vol.
21%
82-83 °F
$566 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$460 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$255 Vol.
<1%
88°F oder höher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a highest temperature in New York City on September 16 near 78–79°F, driven by high pressure promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This setup favors modest warming above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 76°F without triggering stronger heat advection or convective cooling. Stable model runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this range, limiting shifts toward the lower-probability 80°F+ or sub-76°F bins. Traders appear to weight the official guidance and historical analogs heavily, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour maximum observation at Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Volumen
$9,635Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a highest temperature in New York City on September 16 near 78–79°F, driven by high pressure promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This setup favors modest warming above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 76°F without triggering stronger heat advection or convective cooling. Stable model runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this range, limiting shifts toward the lower-probability 80°F+ or sub-76°F bins. Traders appear to weight the official guidance and historical analogs heavily, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour maximum observation at Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,635Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a highest temperature in New York City on September 16 near 78–79°F, driven by high pressure promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This setup favors modest warming above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 76°F without triggering stronger heat advection or convective cooling. Stable model runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this range, limiting shifts toward the lower-probability 80°F+ or sub-76°F bins. Traders appear to weight the official guidance and historical analogs heavily, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour maximum observation at Central Park.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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