Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate widespread rain and cloud cover over Chengdu on September 15, suppressing maximum temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on September 13–14, with highs near 24–27°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show spread in precipitation timing and intensity, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 21–23°C. In the Sichuan basin, autumnal weakening of monsoon flow combined with northeasterly steering often caps daytime peaks near 22°C under such patterns, though brief clearing could allow brief excursions higher. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify the precise thermal maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 15. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 15. September?
22°C 29%
23°C 28%
21°C 19%
24°C 13%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
19%
22°C
29%
23°C
28%
24°C
13%
25°C
9%
26°C oder höher
1%
22°C 29%
23°C 28%
21°C 19%
24°C 13%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
1%
17°C
$10 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$7 Vol.
6%
20°C
$20 Vol.
6%
21°C
$65 Vol.
19%
22°C
$5 Vol.
29%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$5 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate widespread rain and cloud cover over Chengdu on September 15, suppressing maximum temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on September 13–14, with highs near 24–27°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show spread in precipitation timing and intensity, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 21–23°C. In the Sichuan basin, autumnal weakening of monsoon flow combined with northeasterly steering often caps daytime peaks near 22°C under such patterns, though brief clearing could allow brief excursions higher. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify the precise thermal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volumen
$62Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate widespread rain and cloud cover over Chengdu on September 15, suppressing maximum temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on September 13–14, with highs near 24–27°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show spread in precipitation timing and intensity, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 21–23°C. In the Sichuan basin, autumnal weakening of monsoon flow combined with northeasterly steering often caps daytime peaks near 22°C under such patterns, though brief clearing could allow brief excursions higher. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify the precise thermal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$62Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate widespread rain and cloud cover over Chengdu on September 15, suppressing maximum temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on September 13–14, with highs near 24–27°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show spread in precipitation timing and intensity, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 21–23°C. In the Sichuan basin, autumnal weakening of monsoon flow combined with northeasterly steering often caps daytime peaks near 22°C under such patterns, though brief clearing could allow brief excursions higher. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify the precise thermal maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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