Recent forecast model consensus from European and U.S. meteorological centers indicates a mild air mass over Moscow through mid-September, supporting the 47% market-implied probability for a minimum of 13°C or higher on the 15th. Southerly flow and high pressure have limited cold-air advection from the Arctic, producing positive temperature anomalies relative to the 1991–2020 climatological baseline of roughly 8–10°C for overnight lows. Key variables include the strength and persistence of this ridge and any late adjustments in guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the 15th will refine resolution thresholds for this short-term weather market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 15. September?
13°C oder höher 83%
9°C 24%
8°C 22%
5°C 21%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
3°C oder niedriger
1%
4°C
18%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
21%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C oder höher
83%
13°C oder höher 83%
9°C 24%
8°C 22%
5°C 21%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
3°C oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
1%
4°C
$10 Vol.
18%
5°C
$0 Vol.
21%
6°C
$0 Vol.
21%
7°C
$0 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
22%
9°C
$0 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C oder höher
$72 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European and U.S. meteorological centers indicates a mild air mass over Moscow through mid-September, supporting the 47% market-implied probability for a minimum of 13°C or higher on the 15th. Southerly flow and high pressure have limited cold-air advection from the Arctic, producing positive temperature anomalies relative to the 1991–2020 climatological baseline of roughly 8–10°C for overnight lows. Key variables include the strength and persistence of this ridge and any late adjustments in guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the 15th will refine resolution thresholds for this short-term weather market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$92Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European and U.S. meteorological centers indicates a mild air mass over Moscow through mid-September, supporting the 47% market-implied probability for a minimum of 13°C or higher on the 15th. Southerly flow and high pressure have limited cold-air advection from the Arctic, producing positive temperature anomalies relative to the 1991–2020 climatological baseline of roughly 8–10°C for overnight lows. Key variables include the strength and persistence of this ridge and any late adjustments in guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the 15th will refine resolution thresholds for this short-term weather market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$92Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from European and U.S. meteorological centers indicates a mild air mass over Moscow through mid-September, supporting the 47% market-implied probability for a minimum of 13°C or higher on the 15th. Southerly flow and high pressure have limited cold-air advection from the Arctic, producing positive temperature anomalies relative to the 1991–2020 climatological baseline of roughly 8–10°C for overnight lows. Key variables include the strength and persistence of this ridge and any late adjustments in guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the 15th will refine resolution thresholds for this short-term weather market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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