Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an approaching rain system will bring cloudy skies, high humidity near 85-90%, and light to moderate precipitation to Chongqing on September 16, suppressing daytime heating and limiting radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors a daily minimum near 19-21°C, cooler than the September climatological average low of around 22°C, as persistent cloud cover and northerly flow advect slightly cooler air. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble model runs show modest spread in exact overnight lows and timing of heaviest rain, with the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins capturing tail risks from forecast shifts. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 16. September?
15°C oder darunter 100%
25°C oder höher 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
15°C oder darunter
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
98%
15°C oder darunter 100%
25°C oder höher 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
15°C oder darunter
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an approaching rain system will bring cloudy skies, high humidity near 85-90%, and light to moderate precipitation to Chongqing on September 16, suppressing daytime heating and limiting radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors a daily minimum near 19-21°C, cooler than the September climatological average low of around 22°C, as persistent cloud cover and northerly flow advect slightly cooler air. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble model runs show modest spread in exact overnight lows and timing of heaviest rain, with the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins capturing tail risks from forecast shifts. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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