Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a trough and associated rainfall arriving over Chongqing around September 14–16, suppressing insolation and introducing cooler northeasterly flow. This setup favors daytime highs near 23–25 °C with persistent cloud cover and moderate rain, limiting afternoon warming while allowing overnight radiative cooling under saturated conditions. Resulting minimum temperatures on the 15th are projected in the 18–22 °C range, though small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can alter the exact low by several degrees. The near-even market-implied odds between the ≤16 °C and ≥26 °C buckets reflect residual ensemble spread and the sensitivity of the daily minimum to these mesoscale details, with mid-range outcomes (19–22 °C) carrying lower individual probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 15. September?
20°C 47%
26°C oder höher 35%
16°C oder weniger 34%
21°C 32%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
34%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
47%
21°C
32%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
31%
26°C oder höher
35%
20°C 47%
26°C oder höher 35%
16°C oder weniger 34%
21°C 32%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
34%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$38 Vol.
47%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$10 Vol.
31%
26°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a trough and associated rainfall arriving over Chongqing around September 14–16, suppressing insolation and introducing cooler northeasterly flow. This setup favors daytime highs near 23–25 °C with persistent cloud cover and moderate rain, limiting afternoon warming while allowing overnight radiative cooling under saturated conditions. Resulting minimum temperatures on the 15th are projected in the 18–22 °C range, though small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can alter the exact low by several degrees. The near-even market-implied odds between the ≤16 °C and ≥26 °C buckets reflect residual ensemble spread and the sensitivity of the daily minimum to these mesoscale details, with mid-range outcomes (19–22 °C) carrying lower individual probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$68Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a trough and associated rainfall arriving over Chongqing around September 14–16, suppressing insolation and introducing cooler northeasterly flow. This setup favors daytime highs near 23–25 °C with persistent cloud cover and moderate rain, limiting afternoon warming while allowing overnight radiative cooling under saturated conditions. Resulting minimum temperatures on the 15th are projected in the 18–22 °C range, though small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can alter the exact low by several degrees. The near-even market-implied odds between the ≤16 °C and ≥26 °C buckets reflect residual ensemble spread and the sensitivity of the daily minimum to these mesoscale details, with mid-range outcomes (19–22 °C) carrying lower individual probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$68Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a trough and associated rainfall arriving over Chongqing around September 14–16, suppressing insolation and introducing cooler northeasterly flow. This setup favors daytime highs near 23–25 °C with persistent cloud cover and moderate rain, limiting afternoon warming while allowing overnight radiative cooling under saturated conditions. Resulting minimum temperatures on the 15th are projected in the 18–22 °C range, though small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can alter the exact low by several degrees. The near-even market-implied odds between the ≤16 °C and ≥26 °C buckets reflect residual ensemble spread and the sensitivity of the daily minimum to these mesoscale details, with mid-range outcomes (19–22 °C) carrying lower individual probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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