Recent forecast models from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Chongqing on September 14, 2026, amid overcast skies, light easterly winds, and a 35–50% chance of light rain. Market-implied odds near 50% for both ≤16°C and ≥26°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range guidance, where differences in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, humidity levels around 65–85%, and subtle shifts in regional pressure gradients could tip the overnight low by several degrees either way. New ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF, plus official observations, will likely refine this range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 14. September?
16°C oder darunter 100%
26°C oder höher 99%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
16°C oder darunter
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
99%
16°C oder darunter 100%
26°C oder höher 99%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
16°C oder darunter
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Chongqing on September 14, 2026, amid overcast skies, light easterly winds, and a 35–50% chance of light rain. Market-implied odds near 50% for both ≤16°C and ≥26°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range guidance, where differences in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, humidity levels around 65–85%, and subtle shifts in regional pressure gradients could tip the overnight low by several degrees either way. New ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF, plus official observations, will likely refine this range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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