Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a 27°C minimum on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. Easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, promote mixing that limits overnight radiative cooling while maintaining relative humidity in the 55–85% range. This setup aligns with September climatological baselines for minimum temperatures near 26–27°C during stable monsoon periods. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with low rain probability reinforcing trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome at 59% implied probability, though modest variability in boundary-layer cooling supports the secondary 26°C share. Updated HKO guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. September?
27°C 60%
26°C 30%
25°C 8%
28°C 4%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
30%
27°C
60%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
1%
27°C 60%
26°C 30%
25°C 8%
28°C 4%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$36 Vol.
8%
26°C
$521 Vol.
30%
27°C
$1,572 Vol.
60%
28°C
$173 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$528 Vol.
1%
31°C oder höher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a 27°C minimum on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. Easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, promote mixing that limits overnight radiative cooling while maintaining relative humidity in the 55–85% range. This setup aligns with September climatological baselines for minimum temperatures near 26–27°C during stable monsoon periods. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with low rain probability reinforcing trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome at 59% implied probability, though modest variability in boundary-layer cooling supports the secondary 26°C share. Updated HKO guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,363Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a 27°C minimum on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. Easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, promote mixing that limits overnight radiative cooling while maintaining relative humidity in the 55–85% range. This setup aligns with September climatological baselines for minimum temperatures near 26–27°C during stable monsoon periods. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with low rain probability reinforcing trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome at 59% implied probability, though modest variability in boundary-layer cooling supports the secondary 26°C share. Updated HKO guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,363Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a 27°C minimum on September 17 under fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. Easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, promote mixing that limits overnight radiative cooling while maintaining relative humidity in the 55–85% range. This setup aligns with September climatological baselines for minimum temperatures near 26–27°C during stable monsoon periods. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with low rain probability reinforcing trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome at 59% implied probability, though modest variability in boundary-layer cooling supports the secondary 26°C share. Updated HKO guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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