**Clear, stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly winds are positioning 27°C as the consensus high for Incheon/Seoul on September 16.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show mostly clear skies with daytime maxima reaching 27°C under minimal cloud cover and low humidity, consistent with the market-implied 55% probability. Recent model runs indicate little variability, with afternoon peaks expected near 26–27°C before cooling overnight. This aligns with the current warm spell exceeding mid-September climatological averages around 24–25°C, driven by suppressed monsoon influences and favorable subsidence. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of forecasts around 27°C against minor upside risk from localized heating or slight model warming, while downside to 26°C or below remains possible if clouds increase. Final resolution depends on verified station observations at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul sites.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 16. September?
27°C 54%
26°C 24%
28°C 16%
25°C 6%
$15,218 Vol.
$15,218 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
54%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 24%
28°C 16%
25°C 6%
$15,218 Vol.
$15,218 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
54%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly winds are positioning 27°C as the consensus high for Incheon/Seoul on September 16.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show mostly clear skies with daytime maxima reaching 27°C under minimal cloud cover and low humidity, consistent with the market-implied 55% probability. Recent model runs indicate little variability, with afternoon peaks expected near 26–27°C before cooling overnight. This aligns with the current warm spell exceeding mid-September climatological averages around 24–25°C, driven by suppressed monsoon influences and favorable subsidence. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of forecasts around 27°C against minor upside risk from localized heating or slight model warming, while downside to 26°C or below remains possible if clouds increase. Final resolution depends on verified station observations at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul sites.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen