Latest numerical weather models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires on September 17 driven by a shift to northerly winds advecting milder maritime air under mostly clear skies, with forecast highs clustering between 20–23°C. This setup follows cooler southeasterly flow on the 16th and aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where daily maxima often reach the low 20s. Market-implied odds favoring 24–25°C reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of peak afternoon heating or station-specific measurement nuances, while the 26°C+ bin captures residual uncertainty in intensification timing. Updated short-range guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 17. September?
25°C 37%
26°C oder höher 25%
24°C 24%
23°C 8%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C
37%
26°C oder höher
25%
25°C 37%
26°C oder höher 25%
24°C 24%
23°C 8%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$89 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$66 Vol.
1%
21°C
$109 Vol.
1%
22°C
$75 Vol.
5%
23°C
$133 Vol.
8%
24°C
$450 Vol.
24%
25°C
$711 Vol.
37%
26°C oder höher
$414 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires on September 17 driven by a shift to northerly winds advecting milder maritime air under mostly clear skies, with forecast highs clustering between 20–23°C. This setup follows cooler southeasterly flow on the 16th and aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where daily maxima often reach the low 20s. Market-implied odds favoring 24–25°C reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of peak afternoon heating or station-specific measurement nuances, while the 26°C+ bin captures residual uncertainty in intensification timing. Updated short-range guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,543Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires on September 17 driven by a shift to northerly winds advecting milder maritime air under mostly clear skies, with forecast highs clustering between 20–23°C. This setup follows cooler southeasterly flow on the 16th and aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where daily maxima often reach the low 20s. Market-implied odds favoring 24–25°C reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of peak afternoon heating or station-specific measurement nuances, while the 26°C+ bin captures residual uncertainty in intensification timing. Updated short-range guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,543Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires on September 17 driven by a shift to northerly winds advecting milder maritime air under mostly clear skies, with forecast highs clustering between 20–23°C. This setup follows cooler southeasterly flow on the 16th and aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where daily maxima often reach the low 20s. Market-implied odds favoring 24–25°C reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of peak afternoon heating or station-specific measurement nuances, while the 26°C+ bin captures residual uncertainty in intensification timing. Updated short-range guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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