Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 17. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 17. September?
6°C oder niedriger 88%
16°C oder höher 88%
7°C 40%
12°C 40%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
6°C oder niedriger
88%
7°C
40%
8°C
21%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C oder höher
88%
6°C oder niedriger 88%
16°C oder höher 88%
7°C 40%
12°C 40%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
6°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
88%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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