Forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau indicate a high near 28–29°C for September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with typical mid-September conditions following recent days with peaks around 29°C. This consensus drives the market's 77% implied probability on 28°C, with 29°C at 22.5%, as traders weigh official station readings against minor model spreads and measurement timing. No significant frontal systems or anomalous warming are evident, keeping higher outcomes below 1% combined. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria based on verified maximums.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. September?
28°C 86%
29°C 12%
30°C <1%
23°C oder weniger <1%
NEU
$47,944 Vol.
NEU
$47,944 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
23°C oder weniger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
86%
29°C
12%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 86%
29°C 12%
30°C <1%
23°C oder weniger <1%
NEU
$47,944 Vol.
NEU
$47,944 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
23°C oder weniger
$748 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,467 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,873 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$17,800 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,969 Vol.
86%
29°C
$6,080 Vol.
12%
30°C
$3,434 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,169 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,018 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$813 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau indicate a high near 28–29°C for September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with typical mid-September conditions following recent days with peaks around 29°C. This consensus drives the market's 77% implied probability on 28°C, with 29°C at 22.5%, as traders weigh official station readings against minor model spreads and measurement timing. No significant frontal systems or anomalous warming are evident, keeping higher outcomes below 1% combined. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria based on verified maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$47,944Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau indicate a high near 28–29°C for September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with typical mid-September conditions following recent days with peaks around 29°C. This consensus drives the market's 77% implied probability on 28°C, with 29°C at 22.5%, as traders weigh official station readings against minor model spreads and measurement timing. No significant frontal systems or anomalous warming are evident, keeping higher outcomes below 1% combined. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria based on verified maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$47,944Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau indicate a high near 28–29°C for September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with typical mid-September conditions following recent days with peaks around 29°C. This consensus drives the market's 77% implied probability on 28°C, with 29°C at 22.5%, as traders weigh official station readings against minor model spreads and measurement timing. No significant frontal systems or anomalous warming are evident, keeping higher outcomes below 1% combined. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria based on verified maximums.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen