Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 17, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly flow advecting moist maritime air from the East China Sea. This pattern supports light rain or overcast conditions that limit daytime solar heating and suppress peaks above 29°C. Current observations on September 16 show highs near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies, with the incoming moisture expected to moderate temperatures slightly. Model consensus and historical late-September climatology for the region reinforce the market-implied emphasis on 28°C, as stronger warming would require clearer skies or a shift to drier westerly flow, which is not indicated in near-term guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. September?
28°C 63%
29°C 21%
27°C 14%
30°C 4%
$20,648 Vol.
$20,648 Vol.
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
14%
28°C
63%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 63%
29°C 21%
27°C 14%
30°C 4%
$20,648 Vol.
$20,648 Vol.
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
14%
28°C
63%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 17, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly flow advecting moist maritime air from the East China Sea. This pattern supports light rain or overcast conditions that limit daytime solar heating and suppress peaks above 29°C. Current observations on September 16 show highs near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies, with the incoming moisture expected to moderate temperatures slightly. Model consensus and historical late-September climatology for the region reinforce the market-implied emphasis on 28°C, as stronger warming would require clearer skies or a shift to drier westerly flow, which is not indicated in near-term guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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