Strong model consensus from global and regional forecasts, including GFS runs and Shanghai meteorological guidance, positions the overnight low near 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity. Late-summer conditions lack significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would drop readings further, aligning with historical September baselines around 20–22°C. High market-implied odds for 21°C reflect this stability across updated model outputs. A sharper wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 20°C, though current steering patterns and ensemble agreement limit that likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. September?
21°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
17°C oder weniger <1%
NEU
$12,230 Vol.
NEU
$12,230 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
17°C oder weniger <1%
NEU
$12,230 Vol.
NEU
$12,230 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$130 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$352 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$160 Vol.
1%
21°C
$930 Vol.
100%
22°C
$2,601 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,233 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
27°C oder höher
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from global and regional forecasts, including GFS runs and Shanghai meteorological guidance, positions the overnight low near 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity. Late-summer conditions lack significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would drop readings further, aligning with historical September baselines around 20–22°C. High market-implied odds for 21°C reflect this stability across updated model outputs. A sharper wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 20°C, though current steering patterns and ensemble agreement limit that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$12,230Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from global and regional forecasts, including GFS runs and Shanghai meteorological guidance, positions the overnight low near 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity. Late-summer conditions lack significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would drop readings further, aligning with historical September baselines around 20–22°C. High market-implied odds for 21°C reflect this stability across updated model outputs. A sharper wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 20°C, though current steering patterns and ensemble agreement limit that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,230Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from global and regional forecasts, including GFS runs and Shanghai meteorological guidance, positions the overnight low near 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity. Late-summer conditions lack significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would drop readings further, aligning with historical September baselines around 20–22°C. High market-implied odds for 21°C reflect this stability across updated model outputs. A sharper wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 20°C, though current steering patterns and ensemble agreement limit that likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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