**Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high because official Hong Kong Observatory readings through late afternoon on September 17 show a daily maximum of 31.4°C at the primary station, with most urban districts peaking between 31–33°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon and anticyclone.** Forecasts issued earlier in the day called for a maximum near 32°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain chance, yet observed values aligned with 31°C as the effective integer outcome. Model consensus from agencies like the HKO supports this range given persistent easterly flow and dry conditions suppressing further warming. The only realistic challenges would be a late-day spike pushing the official maximum to 32°C or a revision in the final HKO summary, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. September?
31°C 100.0%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$73,580 Vol.
$73,580 Vol.
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$73,580 Vol.
$73,580 Vol.
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high because official Hong Kong Observatory readings through late afternoon on September 17 show a daily maximum of 31.4°C at the primary station, with most urban districts peaking between 31–33°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon and anticyclone.** Forecasts issued earlier in the day called for a maximum near 32°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain chance, yet observed values aligned with 31°C as the effective integer outcome. Model consensus from agencies like the HKO supports this range given persistent easterly flow and dry conditions suppressing further warming. The only realistic challenges would be a late-day spike pushing the official maximum to 32°C or a revision in the final HKO summary, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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