Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 17 indicate daytime maxima likely between 21–25°C amid the start of the regional autumn rain period around September 15, which brings persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and reduced solar heating that limits afternoon warming. Numerical weather prediction models show some spread, with certain runs favoring cooler outcomes near 21–23°C due to stronger precipitation and northerly flow, while others allow brief clearing toward 25–27°C. This scientific uncertainty, combined with the short two-day lead time before resolution, underpins the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around the lower end of the range. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 17. September?
21°C oder darunter 35%
22°C 25%
23°C 23%
24°C 13%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
35%
22°C
25%
23°C
23%
24°C
13%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
21°C oder darunter 35%
22°C 25%
23°C 23%
24°C 13%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$877 Vol.
35%
22°C
$112 Vol.
25%
23°C
$6 Vol.
23%
24°C
$237 Vol.
13%
25°C
$120 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
31°C oder höher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 17 indicate daytime maxima likely between 21–25°C amid the start of the regional autumn rain period around September 15, which brings persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and reduced solar heating that limits afternoon warming. Numerical weather prediction models show some spread, with certain runs favoring cooler outcomes near 21–23°C due to stronger precipitation and northerly flow, while others allow brief clearing toward 25–27°C. This scientific uncertainty, combined with the short two-day lead time before resolution, underpins the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around the lower end of the range. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,665Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 17 indicate daytime maxima likely between 21–25°C amid the start of the regional autumn rain period around September 15, which brings persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and reduced solar heating that limits afternoon warming. Numerical weather prediction models show some spread, with certain runs favoring cooler outcomes near 21–23°C due to stronger precipitation and northerly flow, while others allow brief clearing toward 25–27°C. This scientific uncertainty, combined with the short two-day lead time before resolution, underpins the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around the lower end of the range. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,665Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 17 indicate daytime maxima likely between 21–25°C amid the start of the regional autumn rain period around September 15, which brings persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and reduced solar heating that limits afternoon warming. Numerical weather prediction models show some spread, with certain runs favoring cooler outcomes near 21–23°C due to stronger precipitation and northerly flow, while others allow brief clearing toward 25–27°C. This scientific uncertainty, combined with the short two-day lead time before resolution, underpins the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around the lower end of the range. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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