Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 17 most likely in the 24–26°C range amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which suppress daytime heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Multiple models show highs near 25°C under mostly overcast skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with typical mid-September conditions where afternoon convection limits peaks. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model agreement on limited solar insolation, while the modest spread to 27–28°C or 23°C accounts for uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or rainfall timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. September?
26°C 32%
25°C 19%
27°C 19%
24°C 13%
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
19%
28°C
12%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 19%
27°C 19%
24°C 13%
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
19%
28°C
12%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 17 most likely in the 24–26°C range amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which suppress daytime heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Multiple models show highs near 25°C under mostly overcast skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with typical mid-September conditions where afternoon convection limits peaks. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model agreement on limited solar insolation, while the modest spread to 27–28°C or 23°C accounts for uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or rainfall timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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