Recent forecast model consensus from sources including PredictWind and YR.no points to a daytime high of 22–24°C in Ankara on September 18, driven by a weak disturbance bringing increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Northeast winds and moderate humidity further suppress peak temperatures below late-summer norms, while historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current cooler pattern. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainties in cloud timing and precipitation intensity, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 18. September?
23°C 48%
24°C 29%
25°C 19%
22°C 18%
17°C oder niedriger
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
8%
22°C
22%
23°C
35%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
3%
23°C 48%
24°C 29%
25°C 19%
22°C 18%
17°C oder niedriger
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
8%
22°C
22%
23°C
35%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including PredictWind and YR.no points to a daytime high of 22–24°C in Ankara on September 18, driven by a weak disturbance bringing increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Northeast winds and moderate humidity further suppress peak temperatures below late-summer norms, while historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current cooler pattern. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainties in cloud timing and precipitation intensity, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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