The market-implied odds place the highest probability (55.5%) on a Houston high of 92-93°F for September 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service short-range forecast models showing a typical late-summer pattern with moderate Gulf moisture and onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest spread, supporting the secondary 35.5% odds for 94-95°F while capping the chance of 96°F or higher at 5.5%, in line with climatological September maxima near 90-95°F and the absence of strong ridging or downslope winds. The next model update cycle will refine these projections ahead of peak afternoon temperatures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 18. September?
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 6%
90-91°F 5%
NEU
$10,044 Vol.
NEU
$10,044 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
81°F oder darunter
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F oder höher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 6%
90-91°F 5%
NEU
$10,044 Vol.
NEU
$10,044 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
81°F oder darunter
$591 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$538 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$121 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$41 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$48 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$2,052 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$3,408 Vol.
55%
94-95°F
$2,898 Vol.
36%
96-97°F
$242 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$31 Vol.
<1%
100°F oder höher
$74 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds place the highest probability (55.5%) on a Houston high of 92-93°F for September 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service short-range forecast models showing a typical late-summer pattern with moderate Gulf moisture and onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest spread, supporting the secondary 35.5% odds for 94-95°F while capping the chance of 96°F or higher at 5.5%, in line with climatological September maxima near 90-95°F and the absence of strong ridging or downslope winds. The next model update cycle will refine these projections ahead of peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$10,044Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds place the highest probability (55.5%) on a Houston high of 92-93°F for September 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service short-range forecast models showing a typical late-summer pattern with moderate Gulf moisture and onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest spread, supporting the secondary 35.5% odds for 94-95°F while capping the chance of 96°F or higher at 5.5%, in line with climatological September maxima near 90-95°F and the absence of strong ridging or downslope winds. The next model update cycle will refine these projections ahead of peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,044Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds place the highest probability (55.5%) on a Houston high of 92-93°F for September 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service short-range forecast models showing a typical late-summer pattern with moderate Gulf moisture and onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest spread, supporting the secondary 35.5% odds for 94-95°F while capping the chance of 96°F or higher at 5.5%, in line with climatological September maxima near 90-95°F and the absence of strong ridging or downslope winds. The next model update cycle will refine these projections ahead of peak afternoon temperatures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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