**Forecast models indicate a mild spring overnight for Buenos Aires on September 19, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.** Recent observations show overnight lows near 11–14°C amid stable high pressure, while ensemble guidance diverges on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control radiative cooling rates. Clearer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 12°C or below via enhanced longwave loss, whereas increased cloudiness or warmer advection would support readings near or above 15–16°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 29–30% for 10°C or below, exactly 14°C, and 20°C or higher reflect this uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and limited recent trend data. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will clarify whether cooling accelerates or stalls.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 19. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 19. September?
12°C 38%
13°C 38%
17°C 38%
10°C oder weniger 30%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
30%
11°C
17%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C
30%
15°C
28%
16°C
24%
17°C
38%
18°C
17%
19°C
13%
20°C oder höher
-
12°C 38%
13°C 38%
17°C 38%
10°C oder weniger 30%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
$61 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
38%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
30%
15°C
$16 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C oder höher
$320 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild spring overnight for Buenos Aires on September 19, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.**
Recent observations show overnight lows near 11–14°C amid stable high pressure, while ensemble guidance diverges on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control radiative cooling rates. Clearer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 12°C or below via enhanced longwave loss, whereas increased cloudiness or warmer advection would support readings near or above 15–16°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 29–30% for 10°C or below, exactly 14°C, and 20°C or higher reflect this uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and limited recent trend data. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will clarify whether cooling accelerates or stalls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$397Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild spring overnight for Buenos Aires on September 19, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.**
Recent observations show overnight lows near 11–14°C amid stable high pressure, while ensemble guidance diverges on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control radiative cooling rates. Clearer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 12°C or below via enhanced longwave loss, whereas increased cloudiness or warmer advection would support readings near or above 15–16°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 29–30% for 10°C or below, exactly 14°C, and 20°C or higher reflect this uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and limited recent trend data. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will clarify whether cooling accelerates or stalls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$397Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a mild spring overnight for Buenos Aires on September 19, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.** Recent observations show overnight lows near 11–14°C amid stable high pressure, while ensemble guidance diverges on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control radiative cooling rates. Clearer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 12°C or below via enhanced longwave loss, whereas increased cloudiness or warmer advection would support readings near or above 15–16°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 29–30% for 10°C or below, exactly 14°C, and 20°C or higher reflect this uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and limited recent trend data. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will clarify whether cooling accelerates or stalls.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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