**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall across Singapore have driven daytime heating, positioning 33°C as the dominant market outcome at 82% implied probability.** Official forecasts and model consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and regional guidance indicate a high of 33°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with only a low chance of brief showers, allowing peak solar heating during afternoon hours. This aligns above the September climatological average of 31.6°C at Changi, sustained by southeasterly winds and regional dryness that have limited cloud cover and moisture. Lower probabilities for 32°C or 34°C reflect minor model spread in maximum temperature and potential localized variations in urban heat or timing of any convection, while extremes below 31°C or above 35°C remain improbable given current observational trends and stable atmospheric setup. Official station readings at resolution time will determine the final market outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 16. September?
33°C 82%
32°C 16%
34°C 3%
31°C 2%
$23,139 Vol.
$23,139 Vol.
28°C oder niedriger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
82%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 82%
32°C 16%
34°C 3%
31°C 2%
$23,139 Vol.
$23,139 Vol.
28°C oder niedriger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
82%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall across Singapore have driven daytime heating, positioning 33°C as the dominant market outcome at 82% implied probability.** Official forecasts and model consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and regional guidance indicate a high of 33°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with only a low chance of brief showers, allowing peak solar heating during afternoon hours. This aligns above the September climatological average of 31.6°C at Changi, sustained by southeasterly winds and regional dryness that have limited cloud cover and moisture. Lower probabilities for 32°C or 34°C reflect minor model spread in maximum temperature and potential localized variations in urban heat or timing of any convection, while extremes below 31°C or above 35°C remain improbable given current observational trends and stable atmospheric setup. Official station readings at resolution time will determine the final market outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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