**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a 25–26°C daily high as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on September 16, aligning with the market’s leading shares.** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate typically caps September afternoon peaks near 23–24°C under seasonal norms, yet current guidance from sources including WeatherBug and national forecasts shows slightly warmer, mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover through peak heating hours. Low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling, supporting modest warming above the long-term average. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C against model uncertainty and the possibility of brief afternoon convection or measurement-site differences, while lower-probability tails reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from this stable pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 16. September?
25°C 50%
26°C 38%
27°C oder höher 10%
24°C 8%
NEU
$13,217 Vol.
NEU
$13,217 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
17°C oder darunter
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
50%
26°C
38%
27°C oder höher
10%
25°C 50%
26°C 38%
27°C oder höher 10%
24°C 8%
NEU
$13,217 Vol.
NEU
$13,217 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
17°C oder darunter
$538 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$303 Vol.
1%
23°C
$449 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,219 Vol.
8%
25°C
$4,356 Vol.
50%
26°C
$3,705 Vol.
38%
27°C oder höher
$1,315 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a 25–26°C daily high as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on September 16, aligning with the market’s leading shares.** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate typically caps September afternoon peaks near 23–24°C under seasonal norms, yet current guidance from sources including WeatherBug and national forecasts shows slightly warmer, mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover through peak heating hours. Low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling, supporting modest warming above the long-term average. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C against model uncertainty and the possibility of brief afternoon convection or measurement-site differences, while lower-probability tails reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from this stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$13,217Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a 25–26°C daily high as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on September 16, aligning with the market’s leading shares.** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate typically caps September afternoon peaks near 23–24°C under seasonal norms, yet current guidance from sources including WeatherBug and national forecasts shows slightly warmer, mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover through peak heating hours. Low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling, supporting modest warming above the long-term average. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C against model uncertainty and the possibility of brief afternoon convection or measurement-site differences, while lower-probability tails reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from this stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,217Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a 25–26°C daily high as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on September 16, aligning with the market’s leading shares.** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate typically caps September afternoon peaks near 23–24°C under seasonal norms, yet current guidance from sources including WeatherBug and national forecasts shows slightly warmer, mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover through peak heating hours. Low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling, supporting modest warming above the long-term average. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C against model uncertainty and the possibility of brief afternoon convection or measurement-site differences, while lower-probability tails reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from this stable pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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