Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City’s September 24 minimum near 13°C under mostly cloudy skies and light rain chances, consistent with the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland climate where September averages hover around 12–13°C lows. Cloud cover and elevated humidity from the lingering rainy season limit nocturnal radiative cooling, reducing the chance of sharp drops, while any clearing could allow temperatures to approach or exceed typical ranges. Market-implied odds near 43% for both 17°C-or-higher and 7°C-or-below reflect ongoing model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing, with traders weighting the narrow window before resolution against historical variability in daily minima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 24. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 24. September?
7°C oder darunter 92%
17°C oder höher 44%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
7°C oder darunter
92%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
29%
11°C
16%
12°C
16%
13°C
21%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
20%
17°C oder höher
44%
7°C oder darunter 92%
17°C oder höher 44%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
7°C oder darunter
$10 Vol.
92%
8°C
$10 Vol.
39%
9°C
$10 Vol.
39%
10°C
$10 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
16%
12°C
$0 Vol.
16%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City’s September 24 minimum near 13°C under mostly cloudy skies and light rain chances, consistent with the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland climate where September averages hover around 12–13°C lows. Cloud cover and elevated humidity from the lingering rainy season limit nocturnal radiative cooling, reducing the chance of sharp drops, while any clearing could allow temperatures to approach or exceed typical ranges. Market-implied odds near 43% for both 17°C-or-higher and 7°C-or-below reflect ongoing model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing, with traders weighting the narrow window before resolution against historical variability in daily minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$40Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City’s September 24 minimum near 13°C under mostly cloudy skies and light rain chances, consistent with the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland climate where September averages hover around 12–13°C lows. Cloud cover and elevated humidity from the lingering rainy season limit nocturnal radiative cooling, reducing the chance of sharp drops, while any clearing could allow temperatures to approach or exceed typical ranges. Market-implied odds near 43% for both 17°C-or-higher and 7°C-or-below reflect ongoing model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing, with traders weighting the narrow window before resolution against historical variability in daily minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City’s September 24 minimum near 13°C under mostly cloudy skies and light rain chances, consistent with the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland climate where September averages hover around 12–13°C lows. Cloud cover and elevated humidity from the lingering rainy season limit nocturnal radiative cooling, reducing the chance of sharp drops, while any clearing could allow temperatures to approach or exceed typical ranges. Market-implied odds near 43% for both 17°C-or-higher and 7°C-or-below reflect ongoing model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing, with traders weighting the narrow window before resolution against historical variability in daily minima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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