**Trader consensus on Mexico City's September 23 overnight low remains split, with 6°C or below at 44.5% implied probability and 16°C or higher at 37%, reflecting genuine uncertainty in radiative cooling rates.** Mexico City's subtropical highland climate at ~2,240 m elevation produces typical late-September lows near 13–14°C under partly cloudy, moist conditions during the rainy season. Key differentiators include cloud cover and precipitation, which limit nocturnal heat loss versus clearer skies that enhance cooling; light winds and humidity also modulate the minimum. Official forecasts from multiple models cluster around 12–15°C, yet variability in exact timing of any clearing or showers keeps lower and higher bins competitive. New observational data and model updates through the night will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 23. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 23. September?
6°C oder darunter 76%
16°C oder höher 39%
14°C 27%
13°C 22%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
6°C oder darunter
76%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
9%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
22%
16°C oder höher
39%
6°C oder darunter 76%
16°C oder höher 39%
14°C 27%
13°C 22%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
6°C oder darunter
$100 Vol.
76%
7°C
$100 Vol.
1%
8°C
$100 Vol.
1%
9°C
$100 Vol.
1%
10°C
$40 Vol.
3%
11°C
$10 Vol.
9%
12°C
$10 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Mexico City's September 23 overnight low remains split, with 6°C or below at 44.5% implied probability and 16°C or higher at 37%, reflecting genuine uncertainty in radiative cooling rates.**
Mexico City's subtropical highland climate at ~2,240 m elevation produces typical late-September lows near 13–14°C under partly cloudy, moist conditions during the rainy season. Key differentiators include cloud cover and precipitation, which limit nocturnal heat loss versus clearer skies that enhance cooling; light winds and humidity also modulate the minimum. Official forecasts from multiple models cluster around 12–15°C, yet variability in exact timing of any clearing or showers keeps lower and higher bins competitive. New observational data and model updates through the night will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$461Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Mexico City's September 23 overnight low remains split, with 6°C or below at 44.5% implied probability and 16°C or higher at 37%, reflecting genuine uncertainty in radiative cooling rates.**
Mexico City's subtropical highland climate at ~2,240 m elevation produces typical late-September lows near 13–14°C under partly cloudy, moist conditions during the rainy season. Key differentiators include cloud cover and precipitation, which limit nocturnal heat loss versus clearer skies that enhance cooling; light winds and humidity also modulate the minimum. Official forecasts from multiple models cluster around 12–15°C, yet variability in exact timing of any clearing or showers keeps lower and higher bins competitive. New observational data and model updates through the night will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$461Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Mexico City's September 23 overnight low remains split, with 6°C or below at 44.5% implied probability and 16°C or higher at 37%, reflecting genuine uncertainty in radiative cooling rates.** Mexico City's subtropical highland climate at ~2,240 m elevation produces typical late-September lows near 13–14°C under partly cloudy, moist conditions during the rainy season. Key differentiators include cloud cover and precipitation, which limit nocturnal heat loss versus clearer skies that enhance cooling; light winds and humidity also modulate the minimum. Official forecasts from multiple models cluster around 12–15°C, yet variability in exact timing of any clearing or showers keeps lower and higher bins competitive. New observational data and model updates through the night will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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