Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s minimum temperature on September 22 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northerly winds, and the city’s high elevation that promotes rapid radiational cooling after sunset. Dew points near 11–12 °C and modest humidity limit further drops, while any patchy rain or increased cloud cover could keep readings closer to 13–14 °C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow band plus typical model spread and micro-climate differences across reporting stations, producing closely matched probabilities across the 13–15 °C outcomes and minimal odds below 11 °C. Updated model runs and official minimum readings tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 22. September?
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
5°C oder darunter
<1%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
20%
12°C
21%
13°C
27%
14°C
31%
15°C oder höher
35%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
5°C oder darunter
<1%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
20%
12°C
21%
13°C
27%
14°C
31%
15°C oder höher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City’s minimum temperature on September 22 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northerly winds, and the city’s high elevation that promotes rapid radiational cooling after sunset. Dew points near 11–12 °C and modest humidity limit further drops, while any patchy rain or increased cloud cover could keep readings closer to 13–14 °C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow band plus typical model spread and micro-climate differences across reporting stations, producing closely matched probabilities across the 13–15 °C outcomes and minimal odds below 11 °C. Updated model runs and official minimum readings tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen