Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Milan under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating on September 21. This setup supports peak temperatures clustering around 29–30°C, where the narrow spread in market-implied odds reflects subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing and the exact arrival of a weak northerly flow. Late-September climatology for the Po Valley places average highs near 23°C, so the current outlook represents a notable positive anomaly tied to the anticyclonic pattern. New model runs and observational updates from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range between these two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 21. September?
29°C 44%
30°C 37%
28°C 20%
31°C oder höher 9%
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
41%
30°C
38%
31°C oder höher
9%
29°C 44%
30°C 37%
28°C 20%
31°C oder höher 9%
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
41%
30°C
38%
31°C oder höher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Milan under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating on September 21. This setup supports peak temperatures clustering around 29–30°C, where the narrow spread in market-implied odds reflects subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing and the exact arrival of a weak northerly flow. Late-September climatology for the Po Valley places average highs near 23°C, so the current outlook represents a notable positive anomaly tied to the anticyclonic pattern. New model runs and observational updates from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range between these two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen