Northeast winds and persistent onshore flow from Lake Michigan are keeping Chicago temperatures suppressed below seasonal norms ahead of September 23, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus centering the daily high in the mid-60s. Recent observations show highs near 64°F on adjacent days under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, reflecting a stable cool air mass rather than rapid warming. This produces closely matched market-implied odds for 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, mixing depth, or lake-breeze timing can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the proximity to the event, though updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around official maximum readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. September?
64-65 °F 38%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 23%
58-59°F 13%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
55°F oder niedriger
6%
56-57 °F
9%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
23%
64-65 °F
30%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
8%
74°F oder höher
6%
64-65 °F 38%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 23%
58-59°F 13%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
55°F oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
6%
56-57 °F
$0 Vol.
9%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
13%
60-61°F
$116 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
23%
64-65 °F
$21 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$13 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$7 Vol.
12%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
8%
74°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds and persistent onshore flow from Lake Michigan are keeping Chicago temperatures suppressed below seasonal norms ahead of September 23, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus centering the daily high in the mid-60s. Recent observations show highs near 64°F on adjacent days under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, reflecting a stable cool air mass rather than rapid warming. This produces closely matched market-implied odds for 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, mixing depth, or lake-breeze timing can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the proximity to the event, though updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$156Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds and persistent onshore flow from Lake Michigan are keeping Chicago temperatures suppressed below seasonal norms ahead of September 23, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus centering the daily high in the mid-60s. Recent observations show highs near 64°F on adjacent days under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, reflecting a stable cool air mass rather than rapid warming. This produces closely matched market-implied odds for 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, mixing depth, or lake-breeze timing can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the proximity to the event, though updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$156Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Northeast winds and persistent onshore flow from Lake Michigan are keeping Chicago temperatures suppressed below seasonal norms ahead of September 23, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus centering the daily high in the mid-60s. Recent observations show highs near 64°F on adjacent days under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, reflecting a stable cool air mass rather than rapid warming. This produces closely matched market-implied odds for 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, mixing depth, or lake-breeze timing can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the proximity to the event, though updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria around official maximum readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen