Persistent thunderstorm activity and high atmospheric moisture are anchoring Miami's overnight lows near 76°F for September 23, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing a 76°F minimum amid 70-90% rain chances and south winds near 5 mph. Elevated dew points around 74-75°F and extensive cloud cover from the subtropical pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low of about 74°F while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus across short-range guidance supports mid-70s readings, which explains the market's tight clustering around 74-79°F bins and the low implied odds for sub-72°F or 80°F+ outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight observations through September 22 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 23. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 23. September?
76-77°F 36%
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 35%
84-85°F 35%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
69°F oder darunter
1%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
1%
88°F oder höher
1%
76-77°F 36%
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 35%
84-85°F 35%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
69°F oder darunter
$22 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
35%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
35%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
36%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$22 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$22 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
35%
86-87°F
$50 Vol.
1%
88°F oder höher
$50 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent thunderstorm activity and high atmospheric moisture are anchoring Miami's overnight lows near 76°F for September 23, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing a 76°F minimum amid 70-90% rain chances and south winds near 5 mph. Elevated dew points around 74-75°F and extensive cloud cover from the subtropical pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low of about 74°F while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus across short-range guidance supports mid-70s readings, which explains the market's tight clustering around 74-79°F bins and the low implied odds for sub-72°F or 80°F+ outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight observations through September 22 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$166Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent thunderstorm activity and high atmospheric moisture are anchoring Miami's overnight lows near 76°F for September 23, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing a 76°F minimum amid 70-90% rain chances and south winds near 5 mph. Elevated dew points around 74-75°F and extensive cloud cover from the subtropical pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low of about 74°F while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus across short-range guidance supports mid-70s readings, which explains the market's tight clustering around 74-79°F bins and the low implied odds for sub-72°F or 80°F+ outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight observations through September 22 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$166Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent thunderstorm activity and high atmospheric moisture are anchoring Miami's overnight lows near 76°F for September 23, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing a 76°F minimum amid 70-90% rain chances and south winds near 5 mph. Elevated dew points around 74-75°F and extensive cloud cover from the subtropical pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low of about 74°F while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus across short-range guidance supports mid-70s readings, which explains the market's tight clustering around 74-79°F bins and the low implied odds for sub-72°F or 80°F+ outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight observations through September 22 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen