Trader consensus clusters around the 74-77°F range for Miami’s September 22 low, reflecting stable late-summer subtropical conditions with limited cold-air advection expected. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show the Bermuda High maintaining light easterly flow and high humidity, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island and proximity to the warm Gulf Stream keep overnight minima near seasonal norms. Forecast spread across bins stems from typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage, with new model runs and local observations the next key updates that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 22. September?
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 19%
69°F oder weniger
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F oder höher
1%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 19%
69°F oder weniger
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around the 74-77°F range for Miami’s September 22 low, reflecting stable late-summer subtropical conditions with limited cold-air advection expected. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show the Bermuda High maintaining light easterly flow and high humidity, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island and proximity to the warm Gulf Stream keep overnight minima near seasonal norms. Forecast spread across bins stems from typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage, with new model runs and local observations the next key updates that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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