Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 23, with elevated humidity near 70% and an 70–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for late monsoon transition, when tropical moisture and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima below the recent 35–36°C readings. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 30–37°C outcomes because small differences in timing or intensity of precipitation, or minor shifts in steering winds, can alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated regional model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 23. September?
31°C 35%
33°C 20%
34°C 20%
35°C 20%
27°C oder niedriger
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
19%
33°C
20%
34°C
20%
35°C
20%
36°C
18%
37°C oder höher
18%
31°C 35%
33°C 20%
34°C 20%
35°C 20%
27°C oder niedriger
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
19%
33°C
20%
34°C
20%
35°C
20%
36°C
18%
37°C oder höher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 23, with elevated humidity near 70% and an 70–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for late monsoon transition, when tropical moisture and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima below the recent 35–36°C readings. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 30–37°C outcomes because small differences in timing or intensity of precipitation, or minor shifts in steering winds, can alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated regional model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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