Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and Weather Atlas indicate a peak temperature of 15°C in Wellington on September 21, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–14°C, though current conditions support a modest elevation above baseline without strong warm advection or blocking highs. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 14–16°C, with limited upside potential from model spread or unexpected clearing. Traders have priced 15°C as the clear favorite at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the consensus forecast ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 21. September?
15°C 64%
16°C 27%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
64%
16°C
27%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 64%
16°C 27%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
$774 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$21 Vol.
1%
13°C
$319 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,194 Vol.
9%
15°C
$3,490 Vol.
64%
16°C
$956 Vol.
27%
17°C
$215 Vol.
3%
18°C
$95 Vol.
2%
19°C
$338 Vol.
1%
20°C oder höher
$462 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and Weather Atlas indicate a peak temperature of 15°C in Wellington on September 21, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–14°C, though current conditions support a modest elevation above baseline without strong warm advection or blocking highs. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 14–16°C, with limited upside potential from model spread or unexpected clearing. Traders have priced 15°C as the clear favorite at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the consensus forecast ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,150Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and Weather Atlas indicate a peak temperature of 15°C in Wellington on September 21, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–14°C, though current conditions support a modest elevation above baseline without strong warm advection or blocking highs. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 14–16°C, with limited upside potential from model spread or unexpected clearing. Traders have priced 15°C as the clear favorite at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the consensus forecast ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,150Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and Weather Atlas indicate a peak temperature of 15°C in Wellington on September 21, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–14°C, though current conditions support a modest elevation above baseline without strong warm advection or blocking highs. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 14–16°C, with limited upside potential from model spread or unexpected clearing. Traders have priced 15°C as the clear favorite at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the consensus forecast ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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