Current forecast models from sources including GEM and regional guidance indicate overnight lows for Mexico City on September 25 clustering between 12–14°C under light winds and variable cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 10°C, with urban heat island effects and patchy moisture further moderating temperatures. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 16°C-or-higher and sub-7°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind could push the minimum several degrees either way before official observations finalize the result.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 25. September?
6°C oder weniger 88%
16°C oder höher 45%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
6°C oder weniger
88%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
26%
16°C oder höher
45%
6°C oder weniger 88%
16°C oder höher 45%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
6°C oder weniger
88%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
26%
16°C oder höher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Current forecast models from sources including GEM and regional guidance indicate overnight lows for Mexico City on September 25 clustering between 12–14°C under light winds and variable cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 10°C, with urban heat island effects and patchy moisture further moderating temperatures. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 16°C-or-higher and sub-7°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind could push the minimum several degrees either way before official observations finalize the result.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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