Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s°F for San Francisco on September 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer marine influence that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low near 55.6°F and recent observations showing nighttime minima in the mid-to-upper 50s amid stable high pressure. Trader consensus favors the 58–59°F bin as model runs show little deviation expected before resolution, though slight warming or stronger onshore flow could shift readings into the low 60s. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations through the night represent the key near-term data points likely to influence final positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 25. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 25. September?
68°F oder höher 76.1%
49°F oder weniger 69%
58-59°F 59%
64-65°F 38%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
49°F oder weniger
69%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
59%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
15%
68°F oder höher
76%
68°F oder höher 76.1%
49°F oder weniger 69%
58-59°F 59%
64-65°F 38%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
49°F oder weniger
$10 Vol.
69%
50-51°F
$10 Vol.
14%
52-53°F
$8 Vol.
20%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
20%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
21%
58-59°F
$87 Vol.
59%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
14%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
38%
66-67°F
$25 Vol.
15%
68°F oder höher
$25 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s°F for San Francisco on September 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer marine influence that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low near 55.6°F and recent observations showing nighttime minima in the mid-to-upper 50s amid stable high pressure. Trader consensus favors the 58–59°F bin as model runs show little deviation expected before resolution, though slight warming or stronger onshore flow could shift readings into the low 60s. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations through the night represent the key near-term data points likely to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$176Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s°F for San Francisco on September 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer marine influence that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low near 55.6°F and recent observations showing nighttime minima in the mid-to-upper 50s amid stable high pressure. Trader consensus favors the 58–59°F bin as model runs show little deviation expected before resolution, though slight warming or stronger onshore flow could shift readings into the low 60s. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations through the night represent the key near-term data points likely to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$176Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low in the upper 50s°F for San Francisco on September 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer marine influence that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low near 55.6°F and recent observations showing nighttime minima in the mid-to-upper 50s amid stable high pressure. Trader consensus favors the 58–59°F bin as model runs show little deviation expected before resolution, though slight warming or stronger onshore flow could shift readings into the low 60s. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations through the night represent the key near-term data points likely to influence final positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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