National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 24 project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a compressed marine layer that moderates temperatures near the coast. Model consensus shows partly cloudy conditions with light west-to-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours confirm stable high pressure and no incoming troughs or heat events to alter this pattern, supporting trader positioning around the 56–57°F bin as the implied probability leader while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 24. September?
20°C oder höher 74%
56-57°F 47%
49°F oder darunter 45%
50-51°F 39%
49°F oder darunter
45%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
47%
58–59°F
23%
60-61°F
21%
62-63 °F
20%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
5%
20°C oder höher
74%
20°C oder höher 74%
56-57°F 47%
49°F oder darunter 45%
50-51°F 39%
49°F oder darunter
45%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
47%
58–59°F
23%
60-61°F
21%
62-63 °F
20%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
5%
20°C oder höher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 24 project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a compressed marine layer that moderates temperatures near the coast. Model consensus shows partly cloudy conditions with light west-to-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 55–56°F. Recent observations from the prior 48 hours confirm stable high pressure and no incoming troughs or heat events to alter this pattern, supporting trader positioning around the 56–57°F bin as the implied probability leader while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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