Active southwest monsoon conditions, with heavy rainfall expected across Metro Manila through August 13, represent the dominant driver of current market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum of 30–31 °C. Official PAGASA guidance projects highs near 30–32 °C under widespread cloud cover and showers, consistent with climatological August averages of approximately 31 °C yet tempered by reduced insolation from monsoon-enhanced convection. Recent model consensus from multiple sources shows limited diurnal heating potential, with surface observations indicating prevailing temperatures in the upper 20s °C. Traders appear to weight these near-term dynamical factors more heavily than drier historical analogs, while acknowledging residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized clearing that could nudge readings to 32 °C or hold them at 29 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 13. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 13. August?
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 25%
32°C 6%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 25%
32°C 6%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
$28 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
1%
27°C
$27 Vol.
4%
28°C
$103 Vol.
5%
29°C
$54 Vol.
25%
30°C
$14 Vol.
40%
31°C
$26 Vol.
27%
32°C
$137 Vol.
6%
33°C
$578 Vol.
3%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C oder höher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, with heavy rainfall expected across Metro Manila through August 13, represent the dominant driver of current market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum of 30–31 °C. Official PAGASA guidance projects highs near 30–32 °C under widespread cloud cover and showers, consistent with climatological August averages of approximately 31 °C yet tempered by reduced insolation from monsoon-enhanced convection. Recent model consensus from multiple sources shows limited diurnal heating potential, with surface observations indicating prevailing temperatures in the upper 20s °C. Traders appear to weight these near-term dynamical factors more heavily than drier historical analogs, while acknowledging residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized clearing that could nudge readings to 32 °C or hold them at 29 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,104Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, with heavy rainfall expected across Metro Manila through August 13, represent the dominant driver of current market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum of 30–31 °C. Official PAGASA guidance projects highs near 30–32 °C under widespread cloud cover and showers, consistent with climatological August averages of approximately 31 °C yet tempered by reduced insolation from monsoon-enhanced convection. Recent model consensus from multiple sources shows limited diurnal heating potential, with surface observations indicating prevailing temperatures in the upper 20s °C. Traders appear to weight these near-term dynamical factors more heavily than drier historical analogs, while acknowledging residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized clearing that could nudge readings to 32 °C or hold them at 29 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,104Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, with heavy rainfall expected across Metro Manila through August 13, represent the dominant driver of current market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum of 30–31 °C. Official PAGASA guidance projects highs near 30–32 °C under widespread cloud cover and showers, consistent with climatological August averages of approximately 31 °C yet tempered by reduced insolation from monsoon-enhanced convection. Recent model consensus from multiple sources shows limited diurnal heating potential, with surface observations indicating prevailing temperatures in the upper 20s °C. Traders appear to weight these near-term dynamical factors more heavily than drier historical analogs, while acknowledging residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized clearing that could nudge readings to 32 °C or hold them at 29 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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