**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 20, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 28–31 °C under cloudy skies with a risk of thundery showers, producing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those values.** Coastal Qingdao experiences strong marine moderation from the Yellow Sea, which caps daytime heating through sea-breeze advection and higher boundary-layer moisture; this keeps extremes below the 34 °C+ tail (currently 14 %). Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection, driven by a weak trough or monsoon moisture, further reduce insolation and limit the surface energy budget, favoring the 28–30 °C outcomes that together exceed 70 % implied probability. Model consensus from sources such as Timeanddate, BBC, and Trip.com shows highs of 28–31 °C with varying shower timing—the key variable that can shift the realized maximum by 1–2 °C depending on whether storms develop before or after peak heating. Historical August climatology (average highs ~29–30 °C) reinforces this narrow range, while the absence of a strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky subsidence explains why probabilities for 32 °C+ remain modest. Updated short-range guidance on the morning of the 20th, particularly radar trends and boundary-layer wind shifts, will be the decisive input for refining these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 20. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 20. August?
29°C 33%
30°C 23%
31°C 21%
28°C 19%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
33%
30°C
23%
31°C
21%
32°C
11%
33°C
10%
34°C oder höher
9%
29°C 33%
30°C 23%
31°C 21%
28°C 19%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$32 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$17 Vol.
1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$6 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
33%
30°C
$5 Vol.
23%
31°C
$46 Vol.
21%
32°C
$63 Vol.
11%
33°C
$12 Vol.
10%
34°C oder höher
$16 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 20, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 28–31 °C under cloudy skies with a risk of thundery showers, producing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those values.**
Coastal Qingdao experiences strong marine moderation from the Yellow Sea, which caps daytime heating through sea-breeze advection and higher boundary-layer moisture; this keeps extremes below the 34 °C+ tail (currently 14 %). Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection, driven by a weak trough or monsoon moisture, further reduce insolation and limit the surface energy budget, favoring the 28–30 °C outcomes that together exceed 70 % implied probability. Model consensus from sources such as Timeanddate, BBC, and Trip.com shows highs of 28–31 °C with varying shower timing—the key variable that can shift the realized maximum by 1–2 °C depending on whether storms develop before or after peak heating. Historical August climatology (average highs ~29–30 °C) reinforces this narrow range, while the absence of a strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky subsidence explains why probabilities for 32 °C+ remain modest. Updated short-range guidance on the morning of the 20th, particularly radar trends and boundary-layer wind shifts, will be the decisive input for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$219Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 20, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 28–31 °C under cloudy skies with a risk of thundery showers, producing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those values.**
Coastal Qingdao experiences strong marine moderation from the Yellow Sea, which caps daytime heating through sea-breeze advection and higher boundary-layer moisture; this keeps extremes below the 34 °C+ tail (currently 14 %). Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection, driven by a weak trough or monsoon moisture, further reduce insolation and limit the surface energy budget, favoring the 28–30 °C outcomes that together exceed 70 % implied probability. Model consensus from sources such as Timeanddate, BBC, and Trip.com shows highs of 28–31 °C with varying shower timing—the key variable that can shift the realized maximum by 1–2 °C depending on whether storms develop before or after peak heating. Historical August climatology (average highs ~29–30 °C) reinforces this narrow range, while the absence of a strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky subsidence explains why probabilities for 32 °C+ remain modest. Updated short-range guidance on the morning of the 20th, particularly radar trends and boundary-layer wind shifts, will be the decisive input for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$219Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 20, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 28–31 °C under cloudy skies with a risk of thundery showers, producing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those values.** Coastal Qingdao experiences strong marine moderation from the Yellow Sea, which caps daytime heating through sea-breeze advection and higher boundary-layer moisture; this keeps extremes below the 34 °C+ tail (currently 14 %). Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection, driven by a weak trough or monsoon moisture, further reduce insolation and limit the surface energy budget, favoring the 28–30 °C outcomes that together exceed 70 % implied probability. Model consensus from sources such as Timeanddate, BBC, and Trip.com shows highs of 28–31 °C with varying shower timing—the key variable that can shift the realized maximum by 1–2 °C depending on whether storms develop before or after peak heating. Historical August climatology (average highs ~29–30 °C) reinforces this narrow range, while the absence of a strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky subsidence explains why probabilities for 32 °C+ remain modest. Updated short-range guidance on the morning of the 20th, particularly radar trends and boundary-layer wind shifts, will be the decisive input for refining these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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