**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and rain expected overnight are the main drivers keeping Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 2 in the mid-20s Celsius range.** Official forecasts and model guidance show overnight lows clustering around 24–27°C, with the market heavily favoring 26°C (49.5% implied probability) and 27°C (36.5%), followed by 25°C (13%). These outcomes reflect current atmospheric conditions: easterly flow advecting moist air from the East China Sea, combined with widespread cloudiness and a 70–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms. This setup limits radiative cooling at night, elevating minimum temperatures well above September climatological averages near 20–23°C. Recent observations on September 1 confirm dew points near 24–26°C and persistent overcast skies, supporting the consensus for a relatively mild low rather than a sharper drop. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact thresholds, but the current pattern strongly supports the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. September?
26°C 51%
27°C 37%
25°C 14%
23°C 10%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C
51%
27°C
37%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
27°C 37%
25°C 14%
23°C 10%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
22°C or below
$30 Vol.
1%
23°C
$61 Vol.
10%
24°C
$48 Vol.
8%
25°C
$251 Vol.
14%
26°C
$242 Vol.
51%
27°C
$310 Vol.
37%
28°C
$117 Vol.
10%
29°C
$52 Vol.
2%
30°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$346 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and rain expected overnight are the main drivers keeping Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 2 in the mid-20s Celsius range.** Official forecasts and model guidance show overnight lows clustering around 24–27°C, with the market heavily favoring 26°C (49.5% implied probability) and 27°C (36.5%), followed by 25°C (13%).
These outcomes reflect current atmospheric conditions: easterly flow advecting moist air from the East China Sea, combined with widespread cloudiness and a 70–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms. This setup limits radiative cooling at night, elevating minimum temperatures well above September climatological averages near 20–23°C. Recent observations on September 1 confirm dew points near 24–26°C and persistent overcast skies, supporting the consensus for a relatively mild low rather than a sharper drop.
Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact thresholds, but the current pattern strongly supports the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,692Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and rain expected overnight are the main drivers keeping Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 2 in the mid-20s Celsius range.** Official forecasts and model guidance show overnight lows clustering around 24–27°C, with the market heavily favoring 26°C (49.5% implied probability) and 27°C (36.5%), followed by 25°C (13%).
These outcomes reflect current atmospheric conditions: easterly flow advecting moist air from the East China Sea, combined with widespread cloudiness and a 70–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms. This setup limits radiative cooling at night, elevating minimum temperatures well above September climatological averages near 20–23°C. Recent observations on September 1 confirm dew points near 24–26°C and persistent overcast skies, supporting the consensus for a relatively mild low rather than a sharper drop.
Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact thresholds, but the current pattern strongly supports the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,692Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and rain expected overnight are the main drivers keeping Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 2 in the mid-20s Celsius range.** Official forecasts and model guidance show overnight lows clustering around 24–27°C, with the market heavily favoring 26°C (49.5% implied probability) and 27°C (36.5%), followed by 25°C (13%). These outcomes reflect current atmospheric conditions: easterly flow advecting moist air from the East China Sea, combined with widespread cloudiness and a 70–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms. This setup limits radiative cooling at night, elevating minimum temperatures well above September climatological averages near 20–23°C. Recent observations on September 1 confirm dew points near 24–26°C and persistent overcast skies, supporting the consensus for a relatively mild low rather than a sharper drop. Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact thresholds, but the current pattern strongly supports the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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